Prediction: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Hikaru Shiraishi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Hikaru Shiraishi; the market gives 69% to Hikaru Shiraishi (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Taiyo Yamanaka with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Hikaru Shiraishi has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Hikaru Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hikaru Shiraishi (rating 1491 vs 1531).
- Head-to-head: Taiyo Yamanaka 0–2 Hikaru Shiraishi (2).
Statistics
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Hikaru Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.5 | 12.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 49.9% |
H2H · Taiyo Yamanaka 0 – 2 Hikaru Shiraishi (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taiyo Yamanaka 0–2 Hikaru Shiraishi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/25 M15 Kashiwa | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07/24 ITF M25 Taipei | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Yamanaka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ren Nakamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Mukund Sasikumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 18/05 | Ronit Karki Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/05 | Adil Kalyanpur Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Kriish Tyagi Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Hikaru Shiraishi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Max Purcell M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Sena Okabe M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Yamanaka vs Hikaru Shiraishi?
Our model gives 63% to Hikaru Shiraishi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.