Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Yusuke Kusuhara
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Matthew Dellavedova; the market gives 83% to Matthew Dellavedova (odds 1.13).
Over their last 10 matches, Matthew Dellavedova sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Yusuke Kusuhara arrives on a 3-7 run.
| Matthew Dellavedova | Yusuke Kusuhara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1605 vs 1491).
- Matthew Dellavedova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Matthew Dellavedova 1–0 Yusuke Kusuhara (1).
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Yusuke Kusuhara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.3 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-6.5 | 10-12.1 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 0.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 42% |
H2H · Matthew Dellavedova 1 – 0 Yusuke Kusuhara (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew Dellavedova 1–0 Yusuke Kusuhara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Challenger Jiujiang | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Kuan-Yi Lee M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 26/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Joshua Charlton M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Yusuke Kusuhara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/06 | Eito Komada M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 28/05 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Leo Vithoontien Challenger Wuning Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Yusuke Kusuhara?
Our model gives 75% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.