Tennis · Challenger Newport · 09/07, 00:30
Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Stefan Kozlov; the market gives 81% to Yibing Wu (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Stefan Kozlov with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Yibing Wu has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefan Kozlov 1520 · Yibing Wu 1487
| Stefan Kozlov | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Stefan Kozlov 0–1 Yibing Wu (1).
Statistics
| Stefan Kozlov | Yibing Wu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.9 | 13.3-13.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
H2H · Stefan Kozlov 0 – 1 Yibing Wu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Kozlov 0–1 Yibing Wu
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/23 Challenger Cleveland | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 12/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Mario Mansilla Diez Challenger Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/04 | Nick Hardt Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 20/04 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/04 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/04 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/04 | Strong Kirchheimer Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | James Duckworth Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Yibing Wu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 20/06 | Jan Choinski ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Thijs Boogaard ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Flavio Cobolli French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Marcos Giron French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 19-11 | W |
| 01/05 | Ethan Quinn Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 30/04 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/04 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Aix en Provence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wu?
Our model gives 65% to Yibing Wu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.