Tennis · Challenger Bogota · 09/07, 17:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Claverie vs Nick Hardt
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Nick Hardt; the market gives 79% to Nick Hardt (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Lorenzo Claverie with 10 wins and 0 losses over 10 games; Nick Hardt has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Claverie 1616 · Nick Hardt 1651
| Lorenzo Claverie | Nick Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Lorenzo Claverie dominates on serve: 11.4 aces and 51.4% break avg.
- Note: Nick Hardt makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Claverie | Nick Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (3) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-9.9 | 13.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 11.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 79.7% | 71% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 61.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Claverie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 06/07 | Christopher Papa Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Liam Krall M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Rafael Botran Neutze Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Paulo Pocasangre Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Marko Mesarovic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Kaipo Marshall Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Nick Hardt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Oliveira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Matias Soto Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Claverie vs Nick Hardt?
Our model gives 68% to Nick Hardt, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.