Prediction: Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Nicolas Mejia; the market gives 71% to Nicolas Mejia (odds 1.33).
On recent form, Nicolas Mejia is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 5-5 over theirs.
| Nicolas Mejia | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nicolas Mejia 0–1 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (1).
Statistics
| Nicolas Mejia | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-13.3 | 11.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 5 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 29.6% |
H2H · Nicolas Mejia 0 – 1 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolas Mejia 0–1 Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/25 Challenger San Luis Potosi | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Mejia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Michael Zheng Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-25 | L |
| 29/06 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-21 | W |
| 25/06 | Tristan Schoolkate Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Gustavo Heide Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Henrique Rocha Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Justin Boulais Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Karim Bennani Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Piotr Matuszewski Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/05 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Benjamin Chelia M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Mejia vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna?
Our model gives 64% to Nicolas Mejia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.