Prediction: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Lucas Andrade da Silva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves; the market gives 65% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (odds 1.44).
Recent form leaves Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Lucas Andrade da Silva has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Lucas Andrade da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1–0 Lucas Andrade da Silva (1).
Statistics
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Lucas Andrade da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.2 | 11.2-7.6 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 49.9% |
H2H · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1 – 0 Lucas Andrade da Silva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1–0 Lucas Andrade da Silva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/26 Challenger Quito | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Brandon Perez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Andres Urrea Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/03 | Jaime Faria Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Lucas Andrade da Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Jorge Ruiz Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Lucas Andrade da Silva?
Our model gives 58% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.