Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Eduardo Ribeiro
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida; the market gives 65% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida sits at 8-2 (W-L), while Eduardo Ribeiro arrives on a 6-4 run.
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (rating 1620 vs 1502).
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1–0 Eduardo Ribeiro (1).
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.8 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.2-10.7 | 11.1-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 50.5% |
H2H · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1 – 0 Eduardo Ribeiro (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1–0 Eduardo Ribeiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/25 Challenger Santos | 2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Dmitry Popko Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Eduardo Ribeiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/05 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Eduardo Ribeiro?
Our model gives 65% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.