Tennis · Challenger Newport · 08/07, 21:30

Prediction: James McCabe vs Jason Jung

Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to James McCabe; the market gives 69% to James McCabe (odds 1.36).

Recent form leaves James McCabe with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Jason Jung has piled up 4-6 in the same span.

65%1
65% 35%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · James McCabe 1519 · Jason Jung 1451
James McCabeJason Jung
Our model60%40%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James McCabe (rating 1519 vs 1451).
  • James McCabe is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: James McCabe 1–0 Jason Jung (1).

Statistics

James McCabeJason Jung
Win %60%30%
Win % · Grass 60% (10) 100% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.10.9-1.6
Games (G-P)11.7-11.311.2-13.9
Aces7.64.7
Double faults1.63
1st serve %75.3%64.7%
Break %31.4%50.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.3

H2H · James McCabe 10 Jason Jung (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · James McCabe 10 Jason Jung

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DateSetsGamesRes.
20/10/25
Challenger Suzhou
2-118-13W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

James McCabe

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/06 Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
14/06 Remy Bertola
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
13/06 Rhys Lawlor
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
11/06 Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 3-12 L
10/06 Zizou Bergs
ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-1 19-15 W
07/06 Sander Jong
ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 13-10 W
06/06 Coleman Wong
ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-1 15-13 W
03/06 Kamil Majchrzak
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
01/06 Martin Damm
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
2-1 15-13 W
31/05 William Moxon
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
2-0 12-5 W

Jason Jung

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Hiroki Moriya
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-0 14-12 W
05/07 Andres Martin
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-1 16-16 W
09/06 Zdenek Kolar
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
05/05 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Wuxi · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
29/04 Giles Hussey
Challenger Jiujiang · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
21/04 Hyeon Chung
Challenger Gwangju · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
11/11 Yoshihito Nishioka
Challenger Kobe · Hard
1-2 13-13 L
06/11 Yoshihito Nishioka
Challenger Taipei · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
05/11 Arthur Weber
Challenger Taipei · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
20/10 James McCabe
Challenger Suzhou · Hard
1-2 13-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in James McCabe vs Jason Jung?

Our model gives 65% to James McCabe, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.