Tennis · Challenger Newport · 08/07, 18:10
Prediction: Arthur Gea vs Tyler Zink
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Tyler Zink; the market gives 78% to Arthur Gea (odds 1.20).
On recent form, Arthur Gea is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Tyler Zink 5-5 over theirs.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Gea 1505 · Tyler Zink 1554
| Arthur Gea | Tyler Zink | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tyler Zink (rating 1505 vs 1554).
- Arthur Gea dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 42.3% break avg.
- Note: Arthur Gea makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Gea | Tyler Zink | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-13.2 | 11.6-11.1 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Gea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Raul Brancaccio Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Billy Harris Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 15/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/05 | Karen Khachanov French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-19 | L |
| 19/05 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Tyler Zink
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Landon Ardila Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Blake Ellis Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/05 | Raul Brancaccio ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/05 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/04 | Braden Shick Challenger Savannah · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Gea vs Tyler Zink?
Our model gives 62% to Arthur Gea, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.