Tennis · WTA Bastad · 08/07, 14:00
Prediction: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Kaitlin Quevedo
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Kaitlin Quevedo; the market gives 66% to Kaitlin Quevedo (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Kajsa Rinaldo Persson sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Kaitlin Quevedo arrives on a 6-4 run.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 1539 · Kaitlin Quevedo 1563
| Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | Kaitlin Quevedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kaitlin Quevedo dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 40.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | Kaitlin Quevedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.6 | 11.5-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.4
Over 20.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 41% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Dalma Galfi WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Fiona Ferro WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Elina Avanesyan W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Laura Mair W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Eszter Meri W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Weronika Falkowska W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Kaitlin Quevedo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Tiana Tian Deng WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Sayaka Ishii Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Laura Samsonova WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/05 | Elina Svitolina French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Leolia Jeanjean French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 22/05 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Teodora Kostovic French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Kaitlin Quevedo?
Our model gives 60% to Kaitlin Quevedo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.