Tennis · WTA Bastad · 09/07, 11:00
Prediction: Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Lola Radivojevic; the market gives 63% to Yulia Putintseva (odds 1.50).
On recent form, Lola Radivojevic is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Yulia Putintseva 4-6 over theirs.
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lola Radivojevic 1534 · Yulia Putintseva 1523
| Lola Radivojevic | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lola Radivojevic | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.8 | 10.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 54.2% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 53% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 47% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lola Radivojevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Marina Bassols Ribera Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Isabella Maria Serban W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mia Ristic WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-1 | 14-17 | W |
| 31/05 | Laura Samsonova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 30/05 | Martha Matoula W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 29/05 | Elena Milovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/05 | Alevtina Ibragimova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Yulia Putintseva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Martha Matoula WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Tatjana Maria Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Maria Camila Osorio French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 25/05 | Talia Gibson French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/05 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Veronika Podrez WTA Paris · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/05 | McCartney Kessler WTA Paris · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/05 | Tereza Valentova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lola Radivojevic vs Yulia Putintseva?
Our model gives 56% to Yulia Putintseva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.