Tennis · WTA Bastad · 09/07, 11:00
Prediction: Simona Waltert vs Aneta Laboutkova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Aneta Laboutkova; the market gives 87% to Simona Waltert (odds 1.08).
Over their last 10 matches, Simona Waltert sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Aneta Laboutkova arrives on a 5-5 run.
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Simona Waltert 1489 · Aneta Laboutkova 1550
| Simona Waltert | Aneta Laboutkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aneta Laboutkova (rating 1489 vs 1550).
- Note: Aneta Laboutkova makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Simona Waltert | Aneta Laboutkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.8 | 10.2-9.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 17.5 · +4.2
Over 17.5: 77% · 1.72
Under 17.5: 23% · 2.00
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Simona Waltert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Maria Camila Osorio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/05 | Katerina Siniakova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Hailey Baptiste WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 07/05 | Yulia Starodubtsewa WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 05/05 | Yue Yuan WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Aneta Laboutkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Grace Bernstein WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 25/06 | Gabriela Ce W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Agnese Gentili W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Emma Lene W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Mara Guth W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/04 | Amelie Brooks W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Tena Lukas W75 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Simona Waltert vs Aneta Laboutkova?
Our model gives 66% to Simona Waltert, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.