Prediction: Riku Takahata vs Kasidit Samrej
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Kasidit Samrej; the market gives 86% to Kasidit Samrej (odds 1.10).
On recent form, Riku Takahata is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Kasidit Samrej 5-5 over theirs.
71%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riku Takahata 1509 · Kasidit Samrej 1530
| Riku Takahata | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Riku Takahata | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.8 | 12.5-10.3 |
| Aces | 3 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 76.5% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riku Takahata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/06 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/04 | Yuta Tomida M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Eric Jr. Olivarez M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Kasidit Samrej
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Yu Tanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Alberto Lim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 11/06 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Lingxi Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/05 | Anton Shepp M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Alan Magadan M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Kunanan Pantaratorn M15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riku Takahata vs Kasidit Samrej?
Our model gives 71% to Kasidit Samrej, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.