Prediction: Taisei Ichikawa vs Makoto Ochi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Makoto Ochi; the market gives 61% to Taisei Ichikawa (odds 1.53).
Recent form leaves Taisei Ichikawa with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Makoto Ochi has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
| Taisei Ichikawa | Makoto Ochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Taisei Ichikawa 4–1 Makoto Ochi (5).
Statistics
| Taisei Ichikawa | Makoto Ochi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.9 | 8.5-9.4 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 38.2% |
H2H · Taisei Ichikawa 4 – 1 Makoto Ochi (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taisei Ichikawa 4–1 Makoto Ochi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/25 ITF M25 Takasaki | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/11/24 ITF M25 Carrara | 1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 18/09/24 ITF M25 Takasaki | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06/23 ITF M25 Anseong | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/07/19 ITF M25 Taipei | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taisei Ichikawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 12/06 | Naoya Honda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/05 | Yeonsu Jeong M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Yuto Oki M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/05 | Yunseong Chung M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Makoto Ochi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Shu Muto M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Kazuma Kawachi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Uisung Park M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Seung-Min Oh M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
1-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Manish Sureshkumar M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Poonyachad Sunthonpagasit M25 Nakhon Pathom Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taisei Ichikawa vs Makoto Ochi?
Our model gives 56% to Taisei Ichikawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.