Prediction: Yuto Oki vs Ryuki Matsuda
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Yuto Oki; the market gives 54% to Yuto Oki (odds 1.73).
Over their last 10 matches, Yuto Oki sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Ryuki Matsuda arrives on a 4-6 run.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuto Oki 1509 · Ryuki Matsuda 1475
| Yuto Oki | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Yuto Oki 1–0 Ryuki Matsuda (1).
Statistics
| Yuto Oki | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.1 | 11-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Yuto Oki 1 – 0 Ryuki Matsuda (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yuto Oki 1–0 Ryuki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 M15 Tokyo | 2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuto Oki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Corban Crowther M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 09/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Sanhui Shin M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ryuki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Amine Jamji M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Gabriele Vulpitta M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/05 | Skander Nsairi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Christopher Papa Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuto Oki vs Ryuki Matsuda?
Our model gives 54% to Yuto Oki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.