Tennis · M15 Tokyo · 08/07, 03:00

Prediction: Kokoro Isomura vs Naoto Tomizawa

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Kokoro Isomura; the market gives 86% to Kokoro Isomura (odds 1.10).

Recent form leaves Kokoro Isomura with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Naoto Tomizawa has piled up 5-5 in the same span.

71%1
71% 29%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kokoro Isomura 1530 · Naoto Tomizawa 1506
Kokoro IsomuraNaoto Tomizawa
Our model53%47%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Kokoro Isomura makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Kokoro IsomuraNaoto Tomizawa
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 60% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.2-1.1
Games (G-P)11.4-10.99.9-9.5
Aces2.91.6
Double faults4.62.1
1st serve %68.5%55.3%
Break %46.5%51.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kokoro Isomura

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/07 Maximus Jones
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
02/07 Yuto Oki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 13-9 W
01/07 Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 19-19 W
13/06 Pawit Sornlaksup
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
12/06 Hanyi Liu
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 13-6 W
11/06 Evan Zhu
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Duckhee Lee
M15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
28/05 Hugo Hashimoto
M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard
0-2 4-11 L
26/05 Duckhee Lee
M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
19/05 Dominik Palan
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
1-2 13-15 L

Naoto Tomizawa

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Hien Q H Pham
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/06 Jonathan Irwanto
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/06 Hiiro Sakamoto
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
23/06 Hunter Heck
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
22/06 Kosuke Nakanishi
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
22/06 Shion Yamada
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
22/02 Kotaro Mochizuki
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
1-2 9-13 L
21/02 Masaki Ishikawa
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
19/02 Ren Machida
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
18/02 Jumpei Yamasaki
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kokoro Isomura vs Naoto Tomizawa?

Our model gives 71% to Kokoro Isomura, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.