Prediction: Shion Yamada vs Ryota Tanuma
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Ryota Tanuma; the market gives 81% to Ryota Tanuma (odds 1.14).
Over their last 10 matches, Shion Yamada sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Ryota Tanuma arrives on a 8-2 run.
75%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shion Yamada 1471 · Ryota Tanuma 1596
| Shion Yamada | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryota Tanuma (rating 1471 vs 1596).
- Ryota Tanuma is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Shion Yamada | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-9.5 | 11.4-7.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 50.9% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shion Yamada
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Kazuma Kawachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Ye Cong Mo M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Zolbadar Urnukh M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/05 | Yua Taka M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 28/01 | Luke Hooper M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/01 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/01 | Kosuke Shibano UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Kazuma Kawachi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/07 | Naoki Nakagawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Ren Nakamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Asahi Harazaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Diordan Macababbad UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shion Yamada vs Ryota Tanuma?
Our model gives 75% to Ryota Tanuma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.