Prediction: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Ren Nakamura
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Taiyo Yamanaka; the market gives 83% to Taiyo Yamanaka (odds 1.13).
On recent form, Taiyo Yamanaka is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ren Nakamura 2-8 over theirs.
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Taiyo Yamanaka 2–0 Ren Nakamura (2).
Statistics
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.1 | 8.5-10.7 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 47.3% |
H2H · Taiyo Yamanaka 2 – 0 Ren Nakamura (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taiyo Yamanaka 2–0 Ren Nakamura
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/23 ITF M15 Kuching | 2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/09/19 ITF M25 Darwin | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Yamanaka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Mukund Sasikumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 18/05 | Ronit Karki Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/05 | Adil Kalyanpur Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Kriish Tyagi Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Tomohiro Masabayashi Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ren Nakamura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/04 | Drew Van Orderlain M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/03 | Scott Jones M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/03 | Petar Jovic M15 Swan Hill · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/03 | Joshua Charlton M15 Wodonga · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/03 | James Beaven M25 Faro |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/02 | Rohan Mehra M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Yamanaka vs Ren Nakamura?
Our model gives 69% to Taiyo Yamanaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.