Tennis · M15 Tokyo · 08/07, 03:00

Prediction: Yusuke Kusuhara vs Ryotaro Taguchi

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Ryotaro Taguchi; the market gives 63% to Ryotaro Taguchi (odds 1.50).

Recent form leaves Yusuke Kusuhara with 2 wins and 8 losses over 10 games; Ryotaro Taguchi has piled up 3-7 in the same span.

59%2
41% 59%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yusuke Kusuhara 1460 · Ryotaro Taguchi 1490
Yusuke KusuharaRyotaro Taguchi
Our model46%54%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yusuke KusuharaRyotaro Taguchi
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 38% (8) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.51.3-1.3
Games (G-P)9.3-12.512.9-12.7
Aces2.15.9
Double faults3.52.5
1st serve %63.8%70.7%
Break %36.6%41.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yusuke Kusuhara

WLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Riku Takahata
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
18/06 Jake Delaney
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
16/06 Shu Matsuoka
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
05/06 Youssef Kadiri Hassani
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/06 Kazuki Nishiwaki
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
02/06 Eito Komada
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-1 20-18 W
28/05 Shu Matsuoka
M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
26/04 Matthew Dellavedova
Challenger Jiujiang · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
12/04 Leo Vithoontien
Challenger Wuning Qual · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
30/03 Koki Matsuda
Challenger Miyazaki · Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Ryotaro Taguchi

LLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Ko Suzuki
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
01/07 Kokoro Isomura
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 19-19 L
30/06 Kai-I Wang
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/05 Tsung-Hao Huang
M15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/05 Grigoriy Lomakin
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
17/05 Yuta Kawahashi
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-1 18-12 W
12/05 Keegan Smith
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
11/05 Naoya Honda
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
10/05 Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta
Challenger Bengaluru · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
28/04 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
1-2 11-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yusuke Kusuhara vs Ryotaro Taguchi?

Our model gives 59% to Ryotaro Taguchi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.