Prediction: Miriam Bulgaru vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 72% to Leyre Romero Gormaz; the market gives 79% to Leyre Romero Gormaz (odds 1.17).
Over their last 10 matches, Miriam Bulgaru sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Leyre Romero Gormaz arrives on a 7-3 run.
| Miriam Bulgaru | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leyre Romero Gormaz (rating 1436 vs 1602).
- Leyre Romero Gormaz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Miriam Bulgaru 0–2 Leyre Romero Gormaz (2).
- Note: Miriam Bulgaru makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Leyre Romero Gormaz makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Miriam Bulgaru | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 22% (9) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-11.7 | 11.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 47.3% |
H2H · Miriam Bulgaru 0 – 2 Leyre Romero Gormaz (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miriam Bulgaru 0–2 Leyre Romero Gormaz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/24 W100 Wiesbaden | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/03/24 WTA Antalya | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miriam Bulgaru
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Petra Sedlackova W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Weronika Ewald W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Danka Kovinic WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/05 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W35 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Hanyu Guo French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Harmony Tan W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Julie Belgraver W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Leyre Romero Gormaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Polina Iatcenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Xiaodi You WTA Modena · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 06/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Viola Turini WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Xiaodi You WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miriam Bulgaru vs Leyre Romero Gormaz?
Our model gives 76% to Leyre Romero Gormaz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.