Tennis · WTA Bastad · 08/07, 11:00

Prediction: Moyuka Uchijima vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Moyuka Uchijima; the market gives 75% to Moyuka Uchijima (odds 1.25).

Recent form leaves Moyuka Uchijima with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Irene Burillo Escorihuela has piled up 2-8 in the same span.

72%1
72% 28%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Moyuka Uchijima 1523 · Irene Burillo Escorihuela 1397
Moyuka UchijimaIrene Burillo Escorihuela
Our model67%33%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Moyuka Uchijima (rating 1523 vs 1397).
  • Moyuka Uchijima is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Moyuka Uchijima 1–0 Irene Burillo Escorihuela (1).

Statistics

Moyuka UchijimaIrene Burillo Escorihuela
Win %60%10%
Win % · Clay 67% (9) 10% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.10.5-1.9
Games (G-P)12.4-11.67.6-13.3
Aces1.84.6
Double faults3.52.2
1st serve %64.6%51%
Break %45.1%38.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.9
Over 19.5: 69% · 1.80 Under 19.5: 31% · 1.90

H2H · Moyuka Uchijima 10 Irene Burillo Escorihuela (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Moyuka Uchijima 10 Irene Burillo Escorihuela

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DateSetsGamesRes.
28/05/24
French Open Women
2-012-2W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Moyuka Uchijima

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Oleksandra Oliynykova
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-1 18-14 W
23/06 Esther Adeshina
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 12-16 L
18/05 Alycia Parks
WTA Rabat · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
11/05 Kaja Juvan
WTA Parma · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
04/05 Rebeka Masarova
WTA Rome · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
03/05 Tereza Valentova
WTA Saint-Malo · Clay
2-1 18-11 W
02/05 Jessika Ponchet
WTA Saint-Malo · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
01/05 Sofia Costoulas
WTA Saint-Malo · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/04 Lucie Nguyen Tan
WTA Saint-Malo · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
27/04 Ksenia Efremova
WTA Saint-Malo · Clay
2-1 15-13 W

Irene Burillo Escorihuela

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
24/06 Beatrise Zeltina
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
27/05 Tyra Caterina Grant
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/05 Viktoriya Tomova
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
13/05 Lea Boskovic
W75 Zagreb · ~Clay
1-2 7-14 L
06/05 Mina Hodzic
W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L
21/04 Ayla Aksu
W75 Chiasso · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
17/04 Marina Bassols Ribera
W75 Portoroz · ~Clay
1-2 8-16 L
06/04 Ane Mintegi Del Olmo
WTA Madrid · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
31/03 Jazmin Ortenzi
WTA Bogota · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Moyuka Uchijima vs Irene Burillo Escorihuela?

Our model gives 72% to Moyuka Uchijima, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.