Tennis · M15 Bucharest · 07/07, 09:00
Prediction: Matei Florin Breazu vs Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Matei Florin Breazu; the market gives 71% to Matei Florin Breazu (odds 1.33).
Recent form leaves Matei Florin Breazu with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matei Florin Breazu 1529 · Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru 1515
| Matei Florin Breazu | Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matei Florin Breazu | Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.5 | 10.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matei Florin Breazu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Mate Valkusz UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Achilles Belkovics UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Marcell Bartakovics UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Gabor Hornung UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Radu David Turcanu M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 21/05 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Cesar Stefan Bentzel M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Calin Apostol M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/02 | Yashwin Krishnakumar UTR Pro Henderson · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/02 | Andre Alcantara UTR Pro Henderson · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/11 | Arin Pallegar UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/11 | Brayden Tallakson UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/10 | Maciej Rajski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/10 | William Zhang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/10 | Roman Venger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matei Florin Breazu vs Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru?
Our model gives 62% to Matei Florin Breazu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.