Tennis · Challenger Bogota · 07/07, 20:00

Prediction: Hernan Casanova vs Ignacio Monzon

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Hernan Casanova; the market gives 84% to Hernan Casanova (odds 1.11).

On recent form, Hernan Casanova is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ignacio Monzon 6-4 over theirs.

70%1
70% 30%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hernan Casanova 1570 · Ignacio Monzon 1560
Hernan CasanovaIgnacio Monzon
Our model51%49%
Market84%16%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Hernan Casanova 2–0 Ignacio Monzon (2).

Statistics

Hernan CasanovaIgnacio Monzon
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.3-1
Games (G-P)11.9-10.111.7-10.5
Aces0.80.4
Double faults1.22.5
1st serve %62.3%63.1%
Break %47.8%55.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.2

H2H · Hernan Casanova 20 Ignacio Monzon (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hernan Casanova 20 Ignacio Monzon

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DateSetsGamesRes.
23/08/17
ITF Argentina F4
2-116-9W
06/06/17
ITF Argentina F1
2-012-4W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hernan Casanova

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Quito · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
04/07 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
03/07 Juan Sebastian Osorio
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
30/06 Mario Andre Galarraga
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
26/06 Valerio Aboian
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
23/06 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
17/06 Juan Estevez
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 13-5 W
11/06 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
1-2 13-16 L

Ignacio Monzon

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-1 20-18 W
05/07 Nicolas Hurtado Novoa
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
03/07 Samuel Heredia
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/07 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Juan Sebastian Gomez
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
22/06 Matias Soto
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
15/06 Valentin Basel
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
14/06 Julian Cundom
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 13-13 W
07/06 Santiago Giamichelle
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
1-2 17-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hernan Casanova vs Ignacio Monzon?

Our model gives 70% to Hernan Casanova, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.