Prediction: Lorenzo Claverie vs Samuel Heredia
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Lorenzo Claverie; the market gives 56% to Samuel Heredia (odds 1.67).
Recent form leaves Lorenzo Claverie with 10 wins and 0 losses over 10 games; Samuel Heredia has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
| Lorenzo Claverie | Samuel Heredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Lorenzo Claverie dominates on serve: 10.7 aces and 54.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Claverie 1–0 Samuel Heredia (1).
- Note: Samuel Heredia makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Claverie | Samuel Heredia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.8 | 11.5-8.1 |
| Aces | 10.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 51.8% |
H2H · Lorenzo Claverie 1 – 0 Samuel Heredia (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Claverie 1–0 Samuel Heredia
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/24 Challenger Bogota | 2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Claverie
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Christopher Papa Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Liam Krall M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Rafael Botran Neutze Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Paulo Pocasangre Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Marko Mesarovic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Kaipo Marshall Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Daniel Azar Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Samuel Heredia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Ezequiel Monferrer Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Juan Borba Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Julian Cundom Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/06 | Jose Gabriel Fernandez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Claverie vs Samuel Heredia?
Our model gives 51% to Samuel Heredia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.