Prediction: Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida; the market gives 59% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Dmitry Popko sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida arrives on a 7-3 run.
| Dmitry Popko | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (rating 1534 vs 1630).
- Head-to-head: Dmitry Popko 0–1 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (1).
Statistics
| Dmitry Popko | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.5 | 14.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 48.1% |
H2H · Dmitry Popko 0 – 1 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dmitry Popko 0–1 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/21 Challenger Todi | 1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dmitry Popko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Cristian Felipe Sanchez Rojas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Mateo Castaneda Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/06 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Andres Martin M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Jie Cui M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 17/06 | Zac Hamill M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Enzo Aguiard M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Karl Poling M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Gavin Young M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 06/06 | Oliver Bonding M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/06 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dmitry Popko vs Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida?
Our model gives 61% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.