Tennis · Challenger Bogota · 07/07, 20:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Lucas Andrade da Silva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Lucas Andrade da Silva; the market gives 58% to Lucas Andrade da Silva (odds 1.61).
Over their last 10 matches, Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Lucas Andrade da Silva arrives on a 7-3 run.
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1502 · Lucas Andrade da Silva 1567
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Lucas Andrade da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Andrade da Silva (rating 1502 vs 1567).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Lucas Andrade da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.9 | 10.4-7.8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 31.1% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/05 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/05 | Jose Pereira Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/05 | Murkel Dellien M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/04 | Enzo Lima M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/04 | Gonzalo Villanueva M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/04 | Federico Coria Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Jorge Ruiz Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Romain Gales ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Lucas Andrade da Silva?
Our model gives 58% to Lucas Andrade da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.