Tennis · M15 Bucharest · 08/07, 09:00
Prediction: Radu David Turcanu vs Filippo Mazzola
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Filippo Mazzola; the market gives 75% to Radu David Turcanu (odds 1.25).
Over their last 10 matches, Radu David Turcanu sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Filippo Mazzola arrives on a 5-5 run.
62%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Radu David Turcanu 1494 · Filippo Mazzola 1514
| Radu David Turcanu | Filippo Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Radu David Turcanu | Filippo Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-11.5 | 8.7-8.4 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 51% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Radu David Turcanu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 21/06 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/06 | Gabi Adrian Boitan M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 18/06 | Ruben Hartig M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Calin Apostol M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Stefan Horia Haita M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Dan Alexandru Tomescu M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Matei Florin Breazu M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Filippo Mazzola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Adrien Burdet M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Alexey Dubinin M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Manuel Mazza M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Lorenzo Bocchi M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/05 | Daniel Bagnolini M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 10/05 | Leonardo Taddia M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Radu David Turcanu vs Filippo Mazzola?
Our model gives 62% to Radu David Turcanu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.