Prediction: Makoto Ochi vs Shu Muto
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Makoto Ochi; the market gives 75% to Makoto Ochi (odds 1.25).
Recent form leaves Makoto Ochi with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Shu Muto has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
66%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Makoto Ochi 1476 · Shu Muto 1446
| Makoto Ochi | Shu Muto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Makoto Ochi | Shu Muto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-9.6 | 9.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 31.5% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Makoto Ochi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Kazuma Kawachi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Uisung Park M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/05 | Seung-Min Oh M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
1-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Manish Sureshkumar M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Poonyachad Sunthonpagasit M25 Nakhon Pathom Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/04 | Kasidit Samrej M25 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Shu Muto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Yuquan Jin M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 26/05 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Eric Jr. Olivarez M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 15/04 | Zhan Zheng M25 Anning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M25 Anning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/03 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 23/03 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M15 Tsukuba · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Makoto Ochi vs Shu Muto?
Our model gives 66% to Makoto Ochi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.