Prediction: Hien Q H Pham vs Naoto Tomizawa
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Hien Q H Pham; the market gives 79% to Naoto Tomizawa (odds 1.17).
Over their last 10 matches, Hien Q H Pham sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Naoto Tomizawa arrives on a 4-6 run.
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hien Q H Pham 1496 · Naoto Tomizawa 1475
| Hien Q H Pham | Naoto Tomizawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hien Q H Pham | Naoto Tomizawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.5 | 9.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 53.8% |
| Break % | 48% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hien Q H Pham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03 | Jack Bruce-Smith M25 Launceston |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/02 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M25 Burnie |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 07/02 | Daisuke Sumizawa UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/02 | Yuichiro Inui UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 04/02 | Kenta Nakamura UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/01 | Kosuke Morita UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/01 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/01 | Ewan Ogura UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/12 | Ewan Ogura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/12 | Aristarkh Safonov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Naoto Tomizawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Jonathan Irwanto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/06 | Shion Yamada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/02 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/02 | Masaki Ishikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/02 | Ren Machida UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/02 | Jumpei Yamasaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hien Q H Pham vs Naoto Tomizawa?
Our model gives 65% to Naoto Tomizawa, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.