Prediction: Daisuke Sumizawa vs Riku Takahata
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Riku Takahata; the market gives 58% to Riku Takahata (odds 1.61).
Recent form leaves Daisuke Sumizawa with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Riku Takahata has piled up 3-7 in the same span.
| Daisuke Sumizawa | Riku Takahata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riku Takahata (rating 1390 vs 1469).
- Head-to-head: Daisuke Sumizawa 1–2 Riku Takahata (3).
Statistics
| Daisuke Sumizawa | Riku Takahata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-12 | 9.4-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 35.2% | 37.8% |
H2H · Daisuke Sumizawa 1 – 2 Riku Takahata (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daisuke Sumizawa 1–2 Riku Takahata
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/26 M15 Tokyo | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/06/26 M15 Tokyo | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/09/24 ITF M25 Sapporo | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daisuke Sumizawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/05 | Christopher Papa Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Kashiwa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/02 | Hien Q H Pham UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/02 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 05/02 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 03/02 | Dorian Kos UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Riku Takahata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/06 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/04 | Yuta Tomida M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Eric Jr. Olivarez M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/03 | Ryo Tabata M15 Hinode · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daisuke Sumizawa vs Riku Takahata?
Our model gives 59% to Riku Takahata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.