Tennis · Challenger Newport · 06/07, 19:00

Prediction: Stefan Kozlov vs Garrett Johns

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Stefan Kozlov; the market gives 69% to Stefan Kozlov (odds 1.36).

Recent form leaves Stefan Kozlov with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Garrett Johns has piled up 7-3 in the same span.

60%1
60% 40%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stefan Kozlov 1519 · Garrett Johns 1520
Stefan KozlovGarrett Johns
Our model50%50%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Stefan Kozlov 1–0 Garrett Johns (1).

Statistics

Stefan KozlovGarrett Johns
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.3-0.9
Games (G-P)11.3-9.711-9.1
Aces1.22.7
Double faults2.91.1
1st serve %65%66.8%
Break %50.1%28.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

H2H · Stefan Kozlov 10 Garrett Johns (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefan Kozlov 10 Garrett Johns

Swipe the table sideways →

DateSetsGamesRes.
04/06/19
Challenger Little Rock
2-013-8W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stefan Kozlov

WLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-1 18-16 W
12/05 Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Challenger Valencia · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
11/05 Mario Mansilla Diez
Challenger Valencia · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
22/04 Nick Hardt
Challenger Savannah · Clay
1-2 8-14 L
20/04 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Savannah · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
14/04 Alex Rybakov
Challenger Tallahassee · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
13/04 Kilian Feldbausch
Challenger Tallahassee · Clay
2-1 17-13 W
12/04 Strong Kirchheimer
Challenger Tallahassee · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
09/04 James Duckworth
Challenger Mexico City · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/04 Raphael Perot
Challenger Mexico City · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Garrett Johns

LWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Blake Ellis
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
01/06 Olaf Pieczkowski
Challenger Tyler · Hard
1-2 15-16 L
11/05 Eero Vasa
Challenger Oeiras · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/05 Francisco Rocha
Challenger Oeiras · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
04/05 Frederico Ferreira Silva
Challenger Francavilla · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
03/05 Michalis Sakellaridis
Challenger Francavilla · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
29/04 Marco Cecchinato
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
28/04 Jan Jermar
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
27/04 Dominik Recek
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
26/04 Pawel Juszczak
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stefan Kozlov vs Garrett Johns?

Our model gives 60% to Stefan Kozlov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.