Tennis · Challenger Newport · 06/07, 20:10
Prediction: Jason Jung vs Hiroki Moriya
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Hiroki Moriya; the market gives 56% to Jason Jung (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Jason Jung sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Hiroki Moriya arrives on a 5-5 run.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jason Jung 1446 · Hiroki Moriya 1477
| Jason Jung | Hiroki Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jason Jung 4–1 Hiroki Moriya (5).
Statistics
| Jason Jung | Hiroki Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-13.7 | 8.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Jason Jung 4 – 1 Hiroki Moriya (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jason Jung 4–1 Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/23 ITF M25 Jakarta | 2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/05/23 Challenger Gwangju | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06/21 Challenger Little Rock | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/01/19 Australian Open | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/05/18 Challenger Busan | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jason Jung
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Andres Martin Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/06 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Giles Hussey Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/04 | Hyeon Chung Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Yoshihito Nishioka Challenger Kobe · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 06/11 | Yoshihito Nishioka Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Arthur Weber Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 20/10 | James McCabe Challenger Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Shenzhen · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Hiroki Moriya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Uisung Park M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Seongwoo Cho M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-2 | W |
| 01/06 | Aidan Kim Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Timo Legout Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Keenan Mayo Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/05 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jason Jung vs Hiroki Moriya?
Our model gives 51% to Jason Jung, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.