Tennis · Challenger Newport · 06/07, 19:00
Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Tyler Zink
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Ozan Baris; the market gives 56% to Ozan Baris (odds 1.67).
On recent form, Ozan Baris is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Tyler Zink 5-5 over theirs.
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1586 · Tyler Zink 1510
| Ozan Baris | Tyler Zink | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ozan Baris (rating 1586 vs 1510).
- Ozan Baris is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ozan Baris | Tyler Zink | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10 | 11.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ozan Baris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Blake Ellis Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 29/06 | James Trotter Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Maximus Dussault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Justin Boulais M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/06 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Tyler Zink
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Landon Ardila Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Ronald Hohmann Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Blake Ellis Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/05 | Raul Brancaccio ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/05 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/04 | Braden Shick Challenger Savannah · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/04 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Tyler Zink?
Our model gives 58% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.