Prediction: Naoki Nakagawa vs Sanhui Shin
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Sanhui Shin; the market gives 63% to Sanhui Shin (odds 1.50).
On recent form, Naoki Nakagawa is 4-6 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Sanhui Shin 7-3 over theirs.
65%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Naoki Nakagawa 1465 · Sanhui Shin 1588
| Naoki Nakagawa | Sanhui Shin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sanhui Shin (rating 1465 vs 1588).
- Sanhui Shin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Naoki Nakagawa | Sanhui Shin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.2 | 12.3-8.5 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 79% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 61.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Naoki Nakagawa 1 – 1 Sanhui Shin (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Naoki Nakagawa 1–1 Sanhui Shin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/25 Challenger Busan | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/01/25 Challenger Nonthaburi | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Naoki Nakagawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/03 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Miyazaki · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tsukuba · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/03 | Emile Hudd M15 Nishi-Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/03 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Nishi-Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sanhui Shin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/05 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Yeonsu Jeong M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Naoki Tajima M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Kazuma Kawachi M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Yunseok Jang M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Naoki Nakagawa vs Sanhui Shin?
Our model gives 65% to Sanhui Shin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.