Prediction: Taki Adachi vs Shintaro Imai
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Shintaro Imai; the market gives 92% to Shintaro Imai (odds 1.02).
Recent form leaves Taki Adachi with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Shintaro Imai has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
76%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taki Adachi 1465 · Shintaro Imai 1519
| Taki Adachi | Shintaro Imai | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shintaro Imai (rating 1465 vs 1519).
Statistics
| Taki Adachi | Shintaro Imai | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-10.7 | 12-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 75.2% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taki Adachi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Ryder Jackson M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 21/02 | Ren Machida UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/02 | Ryota Tanuma UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Yamato Yukawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/02 | Ewan Ogura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 28/11 | Kashiwagi Shotaro UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/11 | Taiyo Hirano UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/11 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/11 | Yamato Nishiyama UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Shintaro Imai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/06 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Uisung Park M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Fanming Meng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Kai-I Wang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taki Adachi vs Shintaro Imai?
Our model gives 76% to Shintaro Imai, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.