Prediction: Kousuke Ogura vs Omar Jasika
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Omar Jasika; the market gives 72% to Omar Jasika (odds 1.30).
Over their last 10 matches, Kousuke Ogura sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Omar Jasika arrives on a 9-1 run.
68%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kousuke Ogura 1480 · Omar Jasika 1571
| Kousuke Ogura | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omar Jasika (rating 1480 vs 1571).
- Omar Jasika is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kousuke Ogura | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.9 | 11.9-6.2 |
| Aces | 4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kousuke Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Hayden Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 11/06 | Masamichi Imamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Evan Zhu M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/05 | Qian Sun M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Omar Jasika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Ko Suzuki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Scott Jones UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Marcus Schoeman UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Daniel Jankoski UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexander Despoja UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Zane Stevens UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Jera Staley UTR Pro Sydney · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Valentino De Pellegrin UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kousuke Ogura vs Omar Jasika?
Our model gives 68% to Omar Jasika, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.