Prediction: Moerani Bouzige vs Yuki Mochizuki
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Moerani Bouzige; the market gives 71% to Moerani Bouzige (odds 1.33).
Recent form leaves Moerani Bouzige with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Yuki Mochizuki has piled up 0-10 in the same span.
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moerani Bouzige 1512 · Yuki Mochizuki 1403
| Moerani Bouzige | Yuki Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Moerani Bouzige (rating 1512 vs 1403).
- Moerani Bouzige is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Moerani Bouzige makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Moerani Bouzige | Yuki Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 0% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.4-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.6 | 8.5-13 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moerani Bouzige
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Xirui Han M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Yuta Tomida M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Duckhee Lee M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Yuan Cheng Yang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/05 | Aradhya Kshitij Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Yuki Mochizuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/05 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Anton Chekhov Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 19/04 | Bekkhan Atlangeriev Challenger Shymkent · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/04 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Wuning Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moerani Bouzige vs Yuki Mochizuki?
Our model gives 68% to Moerani Bouzige, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.