Prediction: Shinji Hazawa vs Hikaru Shiraishi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Hikaru Shiraishi; the market gives 65% to Hikaru Shiraishi (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Shinji Hazawa sits at 2-8 (W-L), while Hikaru Shiraishi arrives on a 4-6 run.
| Shinji Hazawa | Hikaru Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hikaru Shiraishi (rating 1446 vs 1514).
- Head-to-head: Shinji Hazawa 1–3 Hikaru Shiraishi (4).
Statistics
| Shinji Hazawa | Hikaru Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.9 | 12.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 60.9% | 44.1% |
H2H · Shinji Hazawa 1 – 3 Hikaru Shiraishi (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shinji Hazawa 1–3 Hikaru Shiraishi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/26 M15 Tokyo | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/03/26 M15 Tsukuba | 2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/09/25 ITF M25 Sapporo | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/04/23 ITF M25 Kashiwa | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shinji Hazawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Yuto Oki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Yeonsu Jeong M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Yunseok Jang M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/05 | Wonmin Kim M15 Gimcheon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/05 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Andong · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Thomas Edwards M15 Andong · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Hikaru Shiraishi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Kazuki Nishiwaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Max Purcell M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Sena Okabe M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Leo Vithoontien M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 28/05 | Tomohiro Masabayashi M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shinji Hazawa vs Hikaru Shiraishi?
Our model gives 62% to Hikaru Shiraishi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.