Prediction: Matthew Dellavedova vs Hiromasa Koyama
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Matthew Dellavedova; the market gives 87% to Matthew Dellavedova (odds 1.08).
On recent form, Matthew Dellavedova is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Hiromasa Koyama 6-4 over theirs.
78%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Dellavedova 1605 · Hiromasa Koyama 1480
| Matthew Dellavedova | Hiromasa Koyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Dellavedova (rating 1605 vs 1480).
- Matthew Dellavedova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matthew Dellavedova | Hiromasa Koyama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-6.6 | 11.4-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Dellavedova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Maximus Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Koki Matsuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Saki Tange M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Max Purcell M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Kuan-Yi Lee M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 26/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Joshua Charlton M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Kanan Gasimov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Hiromasa Koyama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Jesse Delaney M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hayden Jones M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 05/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/06 | Adrian Arcon M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 28/05 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Dellavedova vs Hiromasa Koyama?
Our model gives 78% to Matthew Dellavedova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.