Prediction: Mackenzie McDonald vs Adam Walton
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Adam Walton; the market gives 54% to Adam Walton (odds 1.73).
Recent form leaves Mackenzie McDonald with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Adam Walton has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
| Mackenzie McDonald | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mackenzie McDonald | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 56% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-12.6 | 12.6-9.4 |
| Aces | 10.2 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 77.8% |
| Break % | 31.5% | 23.8% |
H2H · Mackenzie McDonald 1 – 1 Adam Walton (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mackenzie McDonald 1–1 Adam Walton
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/24 Challenger Taipei | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/10/24 Challenger Shenzhen | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mackenzie McDonald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Patrick Kypson Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 25/06 | Christopher O'Connell Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/06 | Niels Visker ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/06 | Rinky Hijikata Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/05 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Adam Walton
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Dino Prizmic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Nick Kyrgios ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/06 | Federico Bondioli ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Harry Wendelken ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Liam Draxl Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Timo Legout Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/06 | Andres Martin Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mackenzie McDonald vs Adam Walton?
Our model gives 52% to Adam Walton, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.