Prediction: Jacob Fearnley vs Mark Lajal
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Jacob Fearnley; the market gives 59% to Jacob Fearnley (odds 1.57).
Recent form leaves Jacob Fearnley with 2 wins and 8 losses over 10 games; Mark Lajal has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
| Jacob Fearnley | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jacob Fearnley 1–0 Mark Lajal (1).
- Note: Jacob Fearnley makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Jacob Fearnley | Mark Lajal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-13.7 | 12-12 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 11.3 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 33.7% | 24.8% |
H2H · Jacob Fearnley 1 – 0 Mark Lajal (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jacob Fearnley 1–0 Mark Lajal
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/24 Challenger Nottingham | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jacob Fearnley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Alex Michelsen Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 25-19 | W |
| 17/06 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Luca Nardi Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Rinky Hijikata Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Mark Lajal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Luka Pavlovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Michael Zheng Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Paul Jubb Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 07/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Leandro Riedi Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Roman Safiullin French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jacob Fearnley vs Mark Lajal?
Our model gives 56% to Jacob Fearnley, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.