Prediction: Daniil Glinka vs Bu Yunchaokete
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 73% to Bu Yunchaokete; the market gives 77% to Bu Yunchaokete (odds 1.22).
On recent form, Daniil Glinka is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Bu Yunchaokete 9-1 over theirs.
| Daniil Glinka | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bu Yunchaokete (rating 1443 vs 1617).
- Bu Yunchaokete dominates on serve: 8 aces and 47.8% break avg.
- Bu Yunchaokete is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Daniil Glinka 0–1 Bu Yunchaokete (1).
Statistics
| Daniil Glinka | Bu Yunchaokete | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 0% (3) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-13.1 | 13.7-10 |
| Aces | 11.2 | 8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 80.2% |
| Break % | 25.5% | 47.8% |
H2H · Daniil Glinka 0 – 1 Bu Yunchaokete (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniil Glinka 0–1 Bu Yunchaokete
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/22 ITF M25 Tbilisi | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniil Glinka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 22/06 | Kimmer Coppejans Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/06 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Liam Broady Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Stefan Latinov Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Robin Bertrand French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/05 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Bu Yunchaokete
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Clement Tabur Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Hugo Dellien Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Chris Rodesch Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Arthur Fery Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Mark Lajal Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Billy Harris Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniil Glinka vs Bu Yunchaokete?
Our model gives 75% to Bu Yunchaokete, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.