Prediction: Alexis Galarneau vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Alexis Galarneau; the market gives 71% to Alexis Galarneau (odds 1.33).
Recent form leaves Alexis Galarneau with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Juan Pablo Ficovich has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
| Alexis Galarneau | Juan Pablo Ficovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexis Galarneau (rating 1521 vs 1429).
- Alexis Galarneau is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alexis Galarneau 2–0 Juan Pablo Ficovich (2).
Statistics
| Alexis Galarneau | Juan Pablo Ficovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Grass | 56% (9) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-14.1 | 12.7-14.6 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 7 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 29.2% | 37.9% |
H2H · Alexis Galarneau 2 – 0 Juan Pablo Ficovich (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexis Galarneau 2–0 Juan Pablo Ficovich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/23 Challenger Columbus | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/05/23 Challenger Little Rock | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexis Galarneau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 07/06 | Roman Safiullin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 06/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 31/05 | Marc-Andrea Huesler Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 21/05 | Federico Cina French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Juan Pablo Ficovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Keegan Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Martin Damm ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Thijmen Loof ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/05 | Stefano Travaglia French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 13/05 | Jan Choinski Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 04/05 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/04 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/04 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexis Galarneau vs Juan Pablo Ficovich?
Our model gives 67% to Alexis Galarneau, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.