Prediction: Adrian Mannarino vs Remy Bertola
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Remy Bertola; the market gives 65% to Adrian Mannarino (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Adrian Mannarino sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Remy Bertola arrives on a 5-5 run.
| Adrian Mannarino | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Remy Bertola (rating 1496 vs 1566).
- Head-to-head: Adrian Mannarino 0–2 Remy Bertola (2).
- Note: Remy Bertola makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Adrian Mannarino | Remy Bertola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 56% (9) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-13.8 | 14.1-13.5 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 8.7 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 26.2% |
H2H · Adrian Mannarino 0 – 2 Remy Bertola (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adrian Mannarino 0–2 Remy Bertola
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 Challenger Quimper | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/10/25 ATP Basel | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Mannarino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Titouan Droguet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Arthur Fery ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Jakub Mensik ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 13/06 | Alex De Minaur ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 09/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/05 | Ugo Humbert French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
Remy Bertola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Max Basing Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-24 | L |
| 24/06 | Jurij Rodionov Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/06 | Liam Draxl Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Yibing Wu Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Luca Nardi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 14/06 | James McCabe Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | William Jansen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 12/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Monastir · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Mannarino vs Remy Bertola?
Our model gives 54% to Adrian Mannarino, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.