Tennis · Challenger Bogota · 06/07, 20:00

Prediction: Federico Zeballos vs Lucas Andrade da Silva

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Lucas Andrade da Silva; the market gives 75% to Lucas Andrade da Silva (odds 1.25).

On recent form, Federico Zeballos is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Lucas Andrade da Silva 6-4 over theirs.

69%2
31% 69%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Federico Zeballos 1477 · Lucas Andrade da Silva 1557
Federico ZeballosLucas Andrade da Silva
Our model39%61%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Andrade da Silva (rating 1477 vs 1557).
  • Lucas Andrade da Silva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Federico Zeballos 0–1 Lucas Andrade da Silva (1).
  • Note: Lucas Andrade da Silva makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Federico ZeballosLucas Andrade da Silva
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 44% (9) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.4-0.7
Games (G-P)9.3-11.610.6-8.9
Aces2.64.6
Double faults3.64
1st serve %63.1%70.2%
Break %28.7%43.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

H2H · Federico Zeballos 01 Lucas Andrade da Silva (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Zeballos 01 Lucas Andrade da Silva

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DateSetsGamesRes.
29/06/26
Challenger Quito
0-25-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Federico Zeballos

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
29/06 Lucas Andrade da Silva
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/06 Andres Urrea
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
30/03 Maxwell McKennon
Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
23/03 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Morelia · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
08/03 Cannon Kingsley
Challenger Santiago · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
19/01 Juan Bautista Torres
Challenger Itajai · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
19/11 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Challenger Florianopolis · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/11 Johannes Ingildsen
Challenger Florianopolis · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
16/11 Thiago Cigarran
Challenger Florianopolis · Clay
2-1 17-13 W

Lucas Andrade da Silva

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Segundo Goity Zapico
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
30/06 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
29/06 Federico Zeballos
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/06 Jorge Ruiz
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
26/06 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
25/06 Conner Huertas Del Pino
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
22/06 Thiago Cigarran
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
21/06 Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
02/10 Romain Gales
ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
01/10 Kacper Szymkowiak
ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 14-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Federico Zeballos vs Lucas Andrade da Silva?

Our model gives 69% to Lucas Andrade da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.