Prediction: Brandon Perez vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves; the market gives 92% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (odds 1.02).
On recent form, Brandon Perez is 3-7 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 5-5 over theirs.
| Brandon Perez | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (rating 1442 vs 1549).
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Brandon Perez | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-11.8 | 12.2-9.6 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 29.1% | 42.3% |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brandon Perez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Kaeri Hernandez Mariona Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/05 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Adil Kalyanpur Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 19/04 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Abidjan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/02 | Noah Schachter Challenger Metepec · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/02 | Strong Kirchheimer Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/01 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Itajai · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/01 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/11 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Andres Urrea Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/03 | Jaime Faria Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/03 | Victor Braga Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/03 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brandon Perez vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
Our model gives 80% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.