Tennis · WTA Bastad · 07/07, 11:00
Prediction: Dalma Galfi vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Kajsa Rinaldo Persson; the market gives 66% to Dalma Galfi (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Dalma Galfi sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Kajsa Rinaldo Persson arrives on a 5-5 run.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalma Galfi 1453 · Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 1526
| Dalma Galfi | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kajsa Rinaldo Persson (rating 1453 vs 1526).
- Kajsa Rinaldo Persson is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dalma Galfi | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.5 | 11.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 47% | 57.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.4
Over 20.5: 59% · 1.90
Under 20.5: 41% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalma Galfi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Francisca Jorge Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Emerson Jones WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 26/05 | Mayar Sherif French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Julia Grabher WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/05 | Alycia Parks WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/04 | Alina Charaeva WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Fiona Ferro WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Elina Avanesyan W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Anna-Lena Friedsam W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Laura Mair W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Eszter Meri W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Weronika Falkowska W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalma Galfi vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson?
Our model gives 54% to Dalma Galfi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.