Prediction: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Paula Badosa
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 63% to Marina Bassols Ribera; the market gives 69% to Paula Badosa (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Marina Bassols Ribera with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Paula Badosa has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
| Marina Bassols Ribera | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marina Bassols Ribera (rating 1540 vs 1449).
- Marina Bassols Ribera dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 57.8% break avg.
- Marina Bassols Ribera is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Marina Bassols Ribera 0–2 Paula Badosa (2).
- Note: Paula Badosa makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Marina Bassols Ribera | Paula Badosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.4 | 10.5-12.2 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 41.1% |
H2H · Marina Bassols Ribera 0 – 2 Paula Badosa (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marina Bassols Ribera 0–2 Paula Badosa
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/17 ITF Women Seville | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08/16 ITF Women Barcelona | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marina Bassols Ribera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Robin Montgomery Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Lola Radivojevic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 09/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Mirra Andreeva French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 24/05 | Emiliana Arango French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/05 | Karolina Pliskova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Amandine Monnot French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/05 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 01/05 | Beatriz Haddad Maia WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Paula Badosa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Emma Navarro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Linda Noskova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Coco Gauff WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/04 | Julia Grabher WTA Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/04 | Eva Lys WTA Stuttgart · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 07/04 | Lilli Tagger WTA Linz · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/04 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Charleston · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Maria Sakkari WTA Charleston · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marina Bassols Ribera vs Paula Badosa?
Our model gives 55% to Paula Badosa, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.