Tennis · Challenger Bogota · 06/07, 18:30

Prediction: Ignacio Monzon vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Ignacio Monzon; the market gives 65% to Ignacio Monzon (odds 1.44).

On recent form, Ignacio Monzon is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 5-5 over theirs.

60%1
60% 40%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ignacio Monzon 1533 · Joao Victor Couto Loureiro 1503
Ignacio MonzonJoao Victor Couto Loureiro
Our model54%46%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Ignacio Monzon 2–0 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro (2).

Statistics

Ignacio MonzonJoao Victor Couto Loureiro
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 50% (10) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.2-1.2
Games (G-P)10.3-1010.3-11
Aces0.35.1
Double faults1.73
1st serve %59.2%70.3%
Break %55.9%45.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

H2H · Ignacio Monzon 20 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ignacio Monzon 20 Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

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DateSetsGamesRes.
17/11/23
ITF M15 Cochabamba
2-115-10W
01/05/23
Challenger Coquimbo
2-115-16W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ignacio Monzon

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Nicolas Hurtado Novoa
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
03/07 Samuel Heredia
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/07 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Juan Sebastian Gomez
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
22/06 Matias Soto
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Juan Manuel La Serna
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
15/06 Valentin Basel
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
14/06 Julian Cundom
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 13-13 W
07/06 Santiago Giamichelle
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
1-2 17-15 L
21/05 Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L

Joao Victor Couto Loureiro

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/07 Salvador Price
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
22/06 Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
21/06 Juan Bautista Otegui
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
15/06 Maximo Zeitune
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
1-2 11-15 L
14/06 Tomas Martinez
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
13/06 Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Brasilia
0-2 5-12 L
11/06 Rafael Tosetto
M15 Brasilia
2-0 12-5 W
10/06 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos
M15 Brasilia
2-1 18-17 W
03/06 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
19/05 Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
1-2 8-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ignacio Monzon vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro?

Our model gives 60% to Ignacio Monzon, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.