Tennis · WTA Bastad · 06/07, 12:30
Prediction: Martha Matoula vs Yulia Putintseva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Martha Matoula; the market gives 84% to Yulia Putintseva (odds 1.11).
On recent form, Martha Matoula is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Yulia Putintseva 3-7 over theirs.
64%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martha Matoula 1563 · Yulia Putintseva 1487
| Martha Matoula | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martha Matoula (rating 1563 vs 1487).
- Martha Matoula is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Martha Matoula | Yulia Putintseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.2 | 9.8-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 52.7% |
| Break % | 65.6% | 51.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.6
Over 18.5: 68% · 2.00
Under 18.5: 32% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martha Matoula
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Gina Feistel W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/06 | Iva Ivanova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Monika Gospodinova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Eva Vedder W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Julie Struplova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/05 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 29/05 | Despina Papamichail W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Anastasia Gasanova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Yulia Putintseva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Tatjana Maria Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Maria Camila Osorio French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 25/05 | Talia Gibson French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/05 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/05 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/05 | Veronika Podrez WTA Paris · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/05 | McCartney Kessler WTA Paris · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/05 | Tereza Valentova WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/04 | Marta Kostyuk WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martha Matoula vs Yulia Putintseva?
Our model gives 64% to Yulia Putintseva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.